- Q3 2024 Vietnam’s GDP rose 7.4%, driven by industry, construction, and services.
- Exports in Vietnam grew by 15.4% with a USD 20.79 billion surplus, led by electronics and textiles.
- Strengthened Global Partnerships: Vietnam expanded cooperation with the U.S. and France in semiconductors, energy, and infrastructure.
- Disaster Response: The government led the rapid recovery from Typhoon Yagi with domestic and international support.
Vietnam Economic Update Report
Quarter 3, 2024
In this issue:
Vietnam's economy witnessed record GDP growth of 7.4% in the third quarter of 2024, surpassing the 6.9% growth reported in the previous quarter.
This strong economic performance was primarily driven by the industrial, construction, and service sectors, which accounted for 37.1% and 42.8% of the overall GDP, respectively.
These sectors recorded significant growth rates, with industrial and construction expanding by 8.19% and services by 6.95%, reflecting Vietnam’s dynamic economic recovery and expanding domestic and international demand.
The industrial sector in Vietnam consists of three main industries that drove growth in the third quarter of 2024. Processing and manufacturing grew by 9.76%, supported by strong domestic and international demand across multiple subsectors. Water supply, waste, and wastewater management expanded by 9.83%, reflecting ongoing investments in infrastructure and heightened efforts to manage environmental sustainability. Meanwhile, electricity production and distribution achieved the highest growth rate, increasing by 11.11%, driven by rising energy consumption from households, industries, and export activities.
Within these industries, several specific sectors stood out for their strong performance. The production of energy fuel in coke and refined petroleum products experienced significant growth. The furniture industry, including beds, cabinets, tables, and chairs, benefited from growing real estate projects and robust export demand. In the automotive sector, motor vehicle production expanded to meet increasing consumer demand for passenger and commercial vehicles. Additionally, rubber and plastic products saw growth, driven by both automotive manufacturing and higher demand for packaging materials in export markets.
The sector also saw notable progress in waste management, which aligned with Vietnam’s focus on urban sustainability and stricter environmental regulations. These high-performing industries within the broader industrial sector reflect Vietnam’s strategy to enhance its manufacturing capabilities, meet domestic needs, and capture new international market opportunities.
The service sector also demonstrated robust performance, with value-added growth of 8.8% in retail sales of consumer goods and services. Total retail sales reached 3,630 trillion VND, marking a 7.9% increase. The accommodation, food, and beverage service sector experienced even stronger growth, expanding by 13.6% to 543 trillion VND. This surge was largely driven by higher domestic tourism activity and growing international visitor numbers.
In tourism and travel services, total revenue reached 45.6 trillion VND, recording the highest growth in the sector at 16.7%. The growing tourism industry was reflected in the sharp rise in passenger traffic, which increased by 12.2%, while the number of passengers carried rose by 7.4%. Similarly, freight traffic grew 13.7%, with freight volume carried increasing by 10.5%, underscoring Vietnam’s strong logistical and export activities in the quarter.
Furthermore, Vietnam saw a notable increase in international visitors, with arrivals rising 43% compared to the same period last year. Air travel remained the most preferred mode of transportation, with passenger numbers increasing by 38.7%. However, alternative transportation modes also saw substantial growth. Road travel surged by 68.1%, while sea travel witnessed an extraordinary increase of 158.7%, reflecting efforts to diversify tourism options and improve connectivity.
The majority of international visitors came from Asia, with the first nine months of 2024 welcoming 10.12 million arrivals from the region, a 47.7% increase over the same period in 2023. European tourism also expanded significantly, with 1.42 million European travelers visiting Vietnam, marking a 39.3% increase. This rise in international tourism demonstrates Vietnam’s successful recovery from the global slowdown seen from the COVID-19 pandemic and highlights its growing attractiveness as a travel destination.
Vietnam’s imports and exports have grown significantly, with imports increasing by 17.3% and exports rising by 15.4%.
The country recorded a trade surplus of USD 20.79 billion during this period. Processed and manufactured goods dominate exports, contributing 84.7% of total export turnover with a growth of 15.2%.
Key export categories include telephones, mobile phones, and components, as well as textiles, footwear, and wood products. Vietnam’s primary export markets are the United States, China, and Japan while China is our largest import country.
The electronics, computers, and components sector continues to lead, generating USD 32.9 billion in revenue, reflecting an impressive 28.6% growth in the first six months of 2024. This sector’s strong performance has had a ripple effect across the economy, supporting other industries. Mobile phones and components are also among the top-performing sectors, contributing USD 27.2 billion, with an
Vietnam’s emergence as a hub for global technology companies is becoming increasingly evident. Companies like Apple have been assembling products in Vietnam since 2019, while manufacturers such as Luxshare Precision and Goertek have moved operations to the country, further boosting FDI and enhancing Vietnam’s position in the global supply chain.
The garment and textile industry reached USD 27.34 billion until September, reflecting an 8.9% increase compared to the same period last year. Leather footwear exports are also expanding, with revenue climbing to USD 14.9 billion, an 11.8% increase.
According to the Vietnam Textile and Garment Association, the industry has recorded its highest export growth in two years. In July and August 2024, textile exports exceeded USD 4 billion per month. Key markets are showing steady growth, including the United States (from 18.3% to 18.2% market share) and Japan (from 16.9% to 17.3%). Meanwhile, South Korea experienced a slight decline, with its share decreasing from 28.7% to 27.6%.
The agriculture and fishery industries have also experienced positive trends. Durian exports have emerged as a major driver, accounting for 40% of vegetable exports, with China being the largest market. The fishery sector achieved USD 6.3 billion in export turnover, a 9% increase compared to the same period in 2023. These gains reflect Vietnam’s continuous efforts to enhance product quality and comply with global standards.
Wood and wood-related exports also show promising growth. In the first half of 2024, wood products recorded USD 5.03 billion in turnover, while related products brought in USD 2.37 billion, both showing increases compared to 2023. Wooden furniture plays a crucial role in this sector, with demand expected to rise significantly in Q4 due to growing needs from the real estate market.
Foreign investment has likewise seen an uptick, complementing Vietnam’s positive trade outlook. With 1,027 new projects and USD 7.64 billion in additional capital, the country showed 7.3% growth in projects and 48% growth in registered capital over 2023. This aligns with Vietnam’s commitment to strengthening its position in global supply chains, particularly in technology and sustainable industries. Business confidence rose to 52% in Q3 2024, up from 45.1% last year, underscoring Vietnam’s growing appeal as a stable and dynamic regional trade hub.
Vietnam’s Strategic Partnerships with the US and France Driving Economic Growth and Sustainable Innovation
September 2024 marked the first anniversary of the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership between Vietnam and the United States, cementing their collaborative efforts across key industries.
The U.S. is now Vietnam’s 11th largest foreign investor, focusing heavily on semiconductors, an industry projected to grow at an 11.62% CAGR from 2023 to 2027 with a total value of USD 20.15 billion. Integrated circuits have become a driving force, contributing USD 16.44 billion in revenue so far this year.
To further support this growth, the U.S.-backed Policy and Supply Chain Leadership Institute recently launched in Hanoi, enhancing Vietnam’s production capabilities. The first eight months of 2024 saw USD 135.8 million in additional U.S. investment through capital injections and stake acquisitions, a 27.5% increase year-on-year. U.S. firms, such as P&G, plan to invest USD 100 million to expand production lines, while AES focuses on renewable energy initiatives in Vietnam.
The partnership extends beyond semiconductors to sectors like infrastructure, supply chains, energy transition, digital transformation, and high-tech innovation. In celebration of the partnership, Vietnam welcomed 50 U.S. businesses and nine state agriculture departments, exploring trade and investment opportunities. The U.S. Mission to Vietnam (USAID) also signed a USD 3.2 million agreement with the Ministry of Industry and Trade (MOIT) to advance digital trade and further develop the digital economy. Additionally, Agribank and VPBank signed agreements to expand financial support in the agricultural sector, reinforcing bilateral cooperation in rural development.
Enhancing Sustainable Energy and Green Growth
The partnership between Vietnam and the U.S. emphasizes sustainable energy, exemplified by the Direct Power Purchase Agreement (DPPA) signed in July 2024. This agreement allows firms to purchase electricity directly from private producers, promoting green energy investments. The MOIT and USAID, which have collaborated for eight years, are spearheading initiatives to encourage eco-friendly solutions, including reduced greenhouse gas emissions, improved waste management, and innovative agriculture techniques like eco-friendly rice stalk burning.
Expanding France-Vietnam Strategic Cooperation
Vietnam has also made significant progress in strengthening ties with France, becoming the first European country to establish a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership with Vietnam in October 2024. This partnership focuses on aerospace, airport infrastructure, and AI development, with French investments extending into telecommunications, healthcare, manufacturing, food, and high-quality agriculture.
A key development is France’s commitment to ratify the EU-Vietnam Investment Protection Agreement (EVIPA), a move that will ease trade barriers, particularly by addressing the yellow card issue affecting Vietnam’s seafood exports to the EU. This agreement opens new opportunities for Vietnam’s fishery sector, supporting exports to the European market.
Moreover, the two countries are working together on the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) to enhance Vietnam’s renewable energy infrastructure. With France’s expertise in hydrogen technologies and renewable energy, the partnership aims to align Vietnam’s energy development with global environmental standards.
Growing Trade and Investment between Vietnam and France
Bilateral trade between Vietnam and France has grown steadily, reaching USD 3.4 billion in the first eight months of 2024, an increase of 6.9% year-on-year. France is now Vietnam’s fourth-largest European trading partner, with trade value increasing 1.5 times from 2013 when the original Strategic Partnership was signed. On October 21, 2024, the two countries held a trade and business exchange event in France, aimed at promoting Vietnamese products and building long-term business relationships with French partners.
Overall, the partnership with France and the U.S. also emphasizes circular agriculture and ecological solutions, ensuring sustainable practices across industries while reducing environmental impact. These collaborations directly contribute to core sectors, such as water management and infrastructure, aligning with Vietnam’s efforts to improve sustainability and meet rising domestic and industrial demand.
The agreements further support energy transition projects, enhancing the electricity production sector, which grew by 11.11% in Q3 2024. By promoting renewable energy through initiatives like the Direct Power Purchase Agreement (DPPA), these partnerships ensure that energy needs are met while reducing environmental footprints, fueling further growth across manufacturing and logistics sectors.
Additionally, investments in infrastructure and technology stemming from these partnerships have accelerated growth in processing and manufacturing, which expanded by 9.76%. Key industries, such as automotive, furniture production, and refined petroleum, benefited from enhanced supply chains and green technology integration. These sectors are now better positioned to meet international market standards, capturing new export opportunities and solidifying Vietnam’s role in global supply chains.
Together, these international collaborations strengthen Vietnam’s industrial base while supporting long-term sustainable development. They foster innovative solutions across agriculture and energy, aligning Vietnam’s growth trajectory with global trends in digital transformation, infrastructure modernization, and eco-friendly production practices. This interconnected strategy ensures Vietnam not only meets domestic demand but also continues to thrive as a reliable investment destination in the global market.
Impact of Typhoon Yagi on Northern Vietnam
Typhoon Yagi caused a 0.15% reduction in Vietnam’s 2024 GDP, severely impacting 26 northern provinces and cities.
The storm disrupted not only key sectors like manufacturing and agriculture but also banking and services, leading to significant financial strain. In response, banks lowered interest rates and extended repayment deadlines on around 100 trillion VND in loans to support impacted businesses and households.
In September 2024, Northern Vietnam faced the strongest typhoon in its history in the past 70 years, causing significant devastation. The disaster resulted in 345 reported deaths and missing persons, nearly 2,000 injuries, and the destruction of 4,700 homes. The Northwest region, including key metropolitan areas like Quang Ninh and Hai Phong, was severely impacted. Approximately 90% of power and communication networks were disrupted, 60% of factories were flooded, and 40% of industrial facilities suffered extensive damage. Electronics and wood industries were among the hardest hit, with 30% of inventories damaged. Major corporations, including Samsung Industrial Vietnam, LG Electronics, and Wayne, faced significant operational challenges, disrupting production across agriculture, manufacturing, and logistics sectors.
The Vietnamese government responded swiftly to mitigate the impact of Typhoon Yagi. Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh issued 10 directives to coordinate recovery efforts, tasking ministries with providing immediate assistance to affected residents. In the aftermath, 51,000 fishing boats and 220,000 crew members were directed to safe shelters, while 53,000 individuals from floating fish farms and vulnerable housing were evacuated. Additionally, 74,500 households, comprising approximately 130,000 people, were relocated from flood-prone areas.
The military played a crucial role, deploying more than 438,000 personnel and 6,600 vehicles to assist in rescue and relief efforts. The government also provided 350 billion VND in financial aid and 300 tonnes of rice to affected areas. The Vietnam Fatherland Front raised over 1 trillion VND to support recovery initiatives, reflecting the collective effort across public and private sectors.
International support further bolstered recovery efforts. The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development secured pledges from 10 embassies and 16 international organizations, committing 160 tonnes of goods to be delivered by air to assist affected communities.
Shifting Focus Toward Clean Energy and Sustainability
The disaster highlighted the vulnerability of Vietnam’s infrastructure and underscored the importance of sustainable energy to build resilience. The government is now promoting clean energy solutions to reduce dependence on fossil fuels, which contribute to climate change and intensify natural disasters. Vietnam’s commitment to renewable energy development is seen as a crucial strategy for attracting investment, ensuring long-term stability, and mitigating disaster risks.
Vietnam’s ability to deploy green energy strengthens its supply chain infrastructure and aligns with its ambition to become a regional manufacturing hub. In addition to meeting domestic energy demands, the focus on sustainable energy also positions Vietnam as a global leader in environmental solutions, giving it a competitive edge over countries that rely heavily on fossil fuels.
This transition offers multiple benefits—it not only ensures energy independence but also attracts foreign investments by aligning with global climate action goals. By embedding sustainability into its economic strategy, Vietnam is setting the foundation for future growth, resilience, and global partnerships.
About this report
This report was compiled with contributions from the team of business experts in our Vietnam office.
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